Posts

What to do when a transformative experience might change your attitudes to risk

The Robustness of the Diversity Prediction Theorem II: problems with asymmetry

The Robustness of the Diversity Prediction Theorem I: generalizing the result

Should longtermists recommend hastening extinction rather than delaying it?

Self-recommending decision theories for imprecise probabilities

More on self-recommending decision theories

Self-recommending decision theories

Aggregating for accuracy: another accuracy argument for linear pooling

Should we agree? III: the rationality of groups

Should we agree? II: a new pragmatic argument for consensus

Should we agree? I: the arguments for consensus